2026 ELECTIONS

New UNF poll finds 50 percent of voters support Amendment 3

By: Norine Dworkin | Editor in Chief

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October 21, 2026

Fifty percent of likely Florida midterm election voters support Amendment 3, the property tax reform ballot measure, according to a new poll published today from the Public Opinion Research Lab (PORL) at the University of North Florida. That’s 10 percentage points short of the 60 percent voter-approval threshold required to amend the Florida Constitution.

If passed, Amendment 3, would increase the homesteaded property tax exemption on primary residences from $50,000 to $150,000 in 2027 and to $250,000 in 2028. After that, the exemption would increase with inflation. The amendment would also reduce the annual increase in commercial and rental properties' assessed value to 5 percent from 10 percent.

In the phone survey of 1,471 likely midterm-election voters, who were told the amendment’s title and that “it would increase homestead property tax exemption over time, other than those directed to schools,” 30 percent of survey participants said they would vote No on Amendment 3. A “notable” 14 percent said they were still undecided.

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With support for Amendment 3 at 50 percent, a new UNF poll suggests it will be the 14 percent of undecided voters who will determine whether the ballot measure passes or not.

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Dr. Sean Freeder, director of the Public Opinion Research Lab, said the amendment’s passage would “ultimately depend upon which way last-minute undecideds swing.”

“Most of these voters would need to vote Yes in order to put Amendment 3 above 60 percent, a challenging but possible outcome,” he said in the press release about the poll. “Political science research shows that it’s easier to use messaging to persuade voters on policy more than on candidates, so the last-minute advertising by each campaign could make a big difference.”

Researchers found support for Amendment 3 was higher among registered Republicans than Democrats or Independents, but the support was not “cleanly split across party lines.” Thirty-two percent of Democrats said they were a Yes vote while 23 percent of Republicans were a No vote.

The poll also found that longtime Florida residents were more opposed to Amendment 3 than newcomers.